traderview2

روند رشد لگاریتمی BTCUSD: حداکثر 155 هزار تا اواسط سال 2025 سلام به همگی! خیلی وقت است که پست گذاشته ام، دلیل خوبی دارد! زمان بسیار خسته کننده ای در بازار بوده است (همانطور که انتظار می رفت). ما در حال حاضر در این مرحله گذار بین بازار خرسی به گاوی هستیم، زمانی است که همه پر از ترس دور می شوند (پایین چرخه) این نمودار را ذخیره کنید... دیگر هرگز به نمودار رنگین کمانی «BTC» نگاه نخواهید کرد. این یا کار می کند یا نمی کند. BTC از زمان پیدایش خود چرخه های بسیار متفاوتی را دنبال کرده است این چرخه ها با هر نصف کردن دیکته شده اند (همانطور که نشان داده شده است) هنگامی که در نمودار لگاریتمی به آن نگاه می شود، دو خط غیرقابل انکار می توان رسم کرد (بالا و پایین)، هیچ راه دیگری برای ترسیم این خطوط وجود ندارد و هر بالا و پایین کاملاً آنها را لمس کرده است. این یک ناحیه رشد منحنی لگاریتمی ایجاد می‌کند که قیمت بیت‌کوین‌ها همیشه بین آن‌ها باقی مانده است با استفاده از این مدل، BTC باید در اواسط سال 2025 حدود 155 هزار افزایش یابد و در بازار نزولی که پس از آن زیر 70 هزار شکستن ما در ادامه به این موضوع اشاره خواهیم کرد، اما نکته اصلی، تصویر ماکرو هنوز کاملاً واضح است و BTC حرکت همانطور که باید، با فضایی برای پایین آمدن به 20k این زمان برای ساختن و آماده شدن برای آنچه در آینده است است دید را از دست ندهید، چمن سبز به نظر می رسد درست در گوشه و کنار است! لطفا نظر بدهید و لایک کنید!

Hello all, The market has been silent for nearly the past month. BTC & ETH broke out of their ranges over the last week. Many people were caught off guard from the break of 30k that occurred yesterday. This was heavily predicted and expected based on many indications. Simply put, many indications pointed to the market being in a very similar spot as April 2019 (the month before BTC broke 6k and rallied to 14k). One of the main technical indications that led me to believe BTC was going to break 30k was the fact BTC was consolidating under a large resistance for nearly a month. This was not a usual pattern based on BTC's price history. Essentially BTC printed 3 dojis on the 1 week chart (under a massive resistance). Many expected BTC to not be able to break that massive resistance level as it didn't have any large pullbacks since its swing low at 19.5k However, I looked at this in terms of supply & demand. One of the most powerful ways to identify strong supply & demand zones are by looking for a strong price reaction from that level. Example Chart: The zone I have been referring to is from 28.5k - 30.1k. As seen above, this zone has been respected for a long time. Each time price bounced hard off this zone, it continued to trend higher for some time. When BTC came back down to this zone in May of 2022, price did not have any hard bounce off the zone, and fell -50%, proving the demand was lower. Fast forward to today, and we can flip this logic and look at this area as a supply zone. When BTC reached this level last month, we never saw a hard rejection from this zone, proving the supply (liquidity is another way to look at it) was higher. Now after a month of consolidating below, BTC is above the zone. Now we ask, what is next? Well, as seen in the posted chart, BTC is showing very similar price action as to April/May 2019. A major level was respected each cycle (shown in gray). Both times, price broke this level, dropped -50%, bottomed, came back to the gray level, broke the 200MA, consolidating below the gray level for a few weeks and then broke it. Along with a few other technical points, BTC seems to have more fuel in the tank to push price higher. If at anytime BTC falls back under this zone, we cannot consider any bullish thesis. Thanks for reading and I hope you all enjoyed! Please COMMENT & LIKE!

Hello All, The market has had a great year! Everything has been playing out nicely. BTC has risen more than most & now we have ETH making yearly highs. Do we know what is next? ALTS! It has happened too many times in this order. (First bottom, then entire market bounces, then entire market corrects, then BTC outperforms along with some alts, then ETH outperforms along with some alts, then rest of alts catch up.) Everything now points to the idea that ALTS are about to run hard! In this idea, I am comparing the TOTAL crypto market cap (BTC & ETH & all others) to the altcoin market cap (excluding BTC & ETH & stablecoins). As we can see, the altcoin market cap has been severely lagging behind the total crypto market cap (mainly because of BTC & ETH outperforming). The total crypto market cap has just fully cleared its August 2022 swing high. Altcoins are nowhere near there yet! As seen with the orange trendline drawn, when TOTAL broke over it, it has rallied straight past the 200MA and onto its first HTF higher high! Altcoins just broke this same orange trend line! Next up is the 200MA and then the August 2022 swing high. This seems like a high conviction play. Keep close eyes on your favorite alts. Thanks for reading! Please comment and like!

Hello all, The market has been silent for nearly the past month. BTC & ETH broke out of their ranges over the last week. Many people were caught off guard from the break of 30k that occurred yesterday. This was heavily predicted and expected based on many indications. I have been shorter term covering my views on Twitter (see profile). Simply put, many indications pointed to the market being in a very similar spot as April 2019 (the month before BTC broke 6k and rallied to 14k). One of the main technical indications that led me to believe BTC was going to break 30k was the fact BTC was consolidating under a large resistance for nearly a month. This was not a usual pattern based on BTC's price history. Essentially BTC printed 3 dojis on the 1 week chart (under a massive resistance). Many expected BTC to not be able to break that massive resistance level as it didn't have any large pullbacks since its swing low at 19.5k However, I looked at this in terms of supply & demand. One of the most powerful ways to identify strong supply & demand zones are by looking for a strong price reaction from that level. Example Chart: The zone I have been referring to is from 28.5k - 30.1k. As seen above, this zone has been respected for a long time. Each time price bounced hard off this zone, it continued to trend higher for some time. When BTC came back down to this zone in May of 2022, price did not have any hard bounce off the zone, and fell -50%, proving the demand was lower. Fast forward to today, and we can flip this logic and look at this area as a supply zone. When BTC reached this level last month, we never saw a hard rejection from this zone, proving the supply (liquidity is another way to look at it) was higher. Now after a month of consolidating below, BTC is above the zone. Now we ask, what is next? Well, as seen in the posted chart, BTC is showing very similar price action as to April/May 2019. A major level was respected each cycle (shown in gray). Both times, price broke this level, dropped -50%, bottomed, came back to the gray level, broke the 200MA, consolidating below the gray level for a few weeks and then broke it. Along with a few other technical points, BTC seems to have more fuel in the tank to push price higher.If at anytime BTC falls back under this zone, we cannot consider any bullish thesis. Thanks for reading and I hope you all enjoyed! Please COMMENT & LIKE!

Hello all! As I was recording this video, BTC has made a new yearly high! Hope you all enjoy! Thanks!

Thread: Will BTC Break Below 30k? Hey All! This is a very interesting time in all markets and people seem to be more confused than ever on whats in store for crypto in 2022. The ongoing war in Ukraine is a devastating conflict that will likely affect the global markets for months to come. As seen on Thursday, Biden's speech provided an immediate jump for US stock markets along with the crypto markets. BTC still rules 99% of the crypto markets and can be relied upon as a valid indicator. The blue line is the 50 week MA and I decided to start this post with some simple, yet effective. Anytime BTC has broken under the 50W MA, prices have fallenat least -50%. This has also marked the beginning of the end of the bear market. In the current case, time has only been a few months. Enjoy the rest of this post as it is filled with metrics not seen often! Please comment & like! CONTINUED:Comment: This simple chart tells much of a story (adding one to the first chart above) The blue are 50 EMA & MA The purple are 100 EMA & MA The green are 200 EMA & MA The blue layer has now been lost for the first time since the COVID crash.Comment: While looking at just the 50W EMA & MA, we can see it retested the zone as resistance for the first time in over 3 years. In addition, the RSI has broke and retested a trend it has held since the bottom of the COVID crash.Comment: Anytime BTC has closed a 1 month candle below the 15 month MA, it dropped at least -47% from the breaking point. it has occurred 4 other times in history. if this is the case, BTC may need to land around 22k-25k before starting another strong bullish trend.Comment: 1 month RSI looks to have broken the uptrend started at the 2019 low of $3,300. Each time the RSI has had a massive spike over the 70 value, it has needed to reset by swooping under the 50 value for a couple months.Comment: The length of the this "presumed" bull run is already much longer than the previous 2.Comment: 1 Month LMACD (logarithmic) had a bearish cross after $64K was first hit and has been heading towards the bottom trend since. This would complete 3 touches in history on each trend.Comment: The 1 Month MACD just had its first bearish cross since the COVID crash.Comment: BTC transactions fees seem to show bear markets.Right after fees break the uptrends formed throughout the bull market, price reverses.If you look to the current, we are just missing the second vertical line which always comes in at a lower low.Comment: Every long term low is marked with the SOPR flash crashing to at least 0.93- If you look now, we have the lower highs as in the past but we are missing a flash crash to at least 0.93-Comment: Using the stock to flow ratio, we can see this shade of green has occurred two other times in history and BTC fell -50%+ afterwards. The shades are based on the time since the last halving and this shade of green occurs around the 620-650th day since the previous halving.Comment: Thanks for reading! Love to hear thoughts in the comments! Are you still bullish for this year?