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مزایای دریافت مالکیت صفحه financialflagship در سهمتو:اطلاعات بیشتر
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Fundamental Analysis The US Dollar weakened due to disappointing economic data that showed an increase in Initial Jobless Claims by 5K more than anticipated. Additionally, the results of the Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Survey fell short of the -18.2 forecast, coming in at -31.3 for April. However, the Fed's Beige Book report stated that economic activity remained unchanged in recent weeks, which helped support the USD. Furthermore, St. Louis Fed's Bullard continued to advocate for further rate hikes to combat inflation and recession fears, which further strengthened the USD. Meanwhile, the Euro was buoyed by expectations that the European Central Bank (ECB) will continue to raise interest rates, although the size of these hikes will be data-dependent. ECB's chief economist Philip Lane emphasized that the health of the region's banks, as reported in the upcoming ECB Bank Lending Survey on May 2, will be crucial in determining whether the ECB will hike rates aggressively. As of today, Thursday 20 April 2023, the EUR traded slightly higher in the 1.0970s against the USD after Wall Street's opening bell. However, the pair retreated from the recent highs of 1.1075 on April 14, as the USD regained strength on expectations that the Federal Reserve will continue raising interest rates. Technical Analysis Looking at the Daily Chart, the medium-term trend for EUR/USD has been upward since it bounced back from the September 2022 lows, and it's expected to persist. Although there was a slight dip in February 2023, EUR/USD managed to recover and hit new year-to-date highs above 1.1000 on April 13. We believe that price will keep pushing up one more time to reach the $1.12000 price level before seeing some major pullback, this move will take a few days, and possibly even a few weeks. Looking at the H1 chart, the price has entered a range over the past few days. There are two potential outcomes: the price will continue to rise towards the recent high of $1.10800 and eventually break out to the upside after some pullback, or this latest range may be a corrective wave (a price accumulation) before seeing another bearish impulse. Regardless of which scenario unfolds, we anticipate that the price will continue to move upwards towards the 1.12000 price level. We will keep you updated on the progress of this chart before any significant price movement occurs.
ب.ظ 04:11 1402/01/31
Introduction Compound interest, often referred to as the eighth wonder of the world, is a financial concept that has the power to transform small investments into large fortunes over time. It is the key to building wealth, securing financial independence, and ensuring a comfortable retirement. In this essay, we will explore the underlying principles of compound interest, its benefits, and real-life examples. Additionally, we will discuss strategies for maximizing the potential of compound interest and managing its impact on debt. The Basics of Compound Interest At its core, compound interest is the interest earned on an initial sum of money (principal) as well as on any interest that has previously been added to the principal. In other words, it is interest on interest. The key factors that determine how much your investment will grow are the principal amount, the interest rate, and the time period. Compound interest allows money to grow exponentially, which means that the longer the investment period, the more significant the growth. Real-Life Examples of Compound Interest Let us consider a simple example to illustrate the power of compound interest. Suppose you invest $1.000 at an annual interest rate of 5%. After the first year, you will have earned 50 USD in interest ($1.000 * 0.05), resulting in a new balance of $1.050. With simple interest, the earnings would stop here, but with compound interest, the process continues. In the second year, you will earn 5% interest on the full $1.050, which means you will earn $52.50 in interest, for a new balance of $1.102,50. This cycle repeats itself, with the balance and interest growing each year. Over the course of 30 years, a $1.000 investment at 5% annual interest compounded annually would grow to $4.321,94. The exponential growth over time demonstrates the incredible power of compound interest. The frequency of compounding can also significantly impact the growth of an investment. Many investments compound interest daily, monthly, or quarterly. The more frequent the compounding period, the faster the investment will grow. For example, a $1.000 investment at 5% annual interest compounded quarterly over 30 years would grow to $4.486,98, demonstrating the benefits of more frequent compounding. Maximizing Compound Interest Potential There are several strategies for maximizing the potential of compound interest. Firstly, start investing as early as possible, as the exponential growth of compound interest accelerates over time. Even small, regular investments can lead to substantial gains over time. For instance, investing $100 per month at a 7% annual interest rate compounded monthly from age 25 to 65 would result in a balance of $262.481, even though the total contributions would only amount to $48.000. Next, invest consistently and seek out investments with higher interest rates, which can significantly boost the growth of your investments. Finally, opt for more frequent compounding periods to accelerate your investment growth. By adhering to these strategies, you can make the most of compound interest and build substantial wealth over time. Compound Interest and Debt Management While compound interest can work wonders for wealth-building, it can also have negative consequences when it comes to debt. Credit cards, loans, and other forms of debt often compound interest, causing debt to grow rapidly if not managed properly. It is crucial to stay vigilant and make regular payments to prevent the negative effects of compound interest on debt. Conclusion In conclusion, compound interest is a powerful financial concept that can significantly impact your financial future. By understanding its principles, harnessing its benefits, and applying effective strategies, you can maximize your financial potential and secure a prosperous future. The key to success with compound interest lies in starting early, investing consistently, and being patient. Remember that small, consistent actions today can lead to enormous results in the future. It is crucial to research available investment options, assess your risk tolerance, and choose financial vehicles that align with your goals. By making informed decisions and leveraging the power of compound interest, you can make your money work for you and achieve financial success. As a final note, it is essential to consider the impact of compound interest on debt management. Proper planning and disciplined payment schedules can help you mitigate the negative effects of compound interest on your financial well-being. By staying diligent and actively managing your finances, you can ensure a healthy balance between your investments and debts, paving the way for a bright and secure financial future. Whether you are a seasoned investor or just beginning your financial journey, understanding the incredible potential of compound interest is invaluable. Embrace this financial marvel and harness its power to achieve your financial goals and secure a prosperous future for yourself and your loved ones.
ب.ظ 04:12 1402/01/29
The concept of factor investing has garnered significant attention in recent years as an innovative approach to portfolio management. The idea behind factor investing is that it seeks to uncover the primary sources of return in investment portfolios, and to explicitly target these sources, known as factors. By systematically identifying and targeting these factors, investors can achieve improved portfolio diversification, risk management, and potentially, enhanced returns. Factor investing can be traced back to the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) introduced by Sharpe (1964) and Lintner (1965). The CAPM was a groundbreaking theory that posited that a security's expected return is directly related to its level of systematic risk, measured by the beta coefficient. The concept of beta provided an early example of a factor in investing. In recent years, factor investing has evolved and expanded considerably. Researchers and investment managers have identified numerous factors that drive investment performance, such as quality, low volatility, and liquidity. Primary Factors in Investing Market: The market factor represents the overall market return and is the core factor that drives investment performance. The market factor, or beta, is the exposure of an asset to the general movement of the market. Size: Size is the factor that focuses on the market capitalization of companies. Small-cap stocks typically offer higher potential returns than large-cap stocks, although they also tend to exhibit higher volatility. Value: Value investing targets stocks that are considered undervalued relative to their intrinsic value. Value stocks generally have low price-to-earnings, price-to-book, and price-to-cash-flow ratios, and they tend to outperform growth stocks over time. Momentum: The momentum factor captures the tendency of stocks that have recently outperformed to continue to do so. Momentum investing strategies aim to capture this trend by buying recent winners and selling recent losers. Quality: Quality is a factor that focuses on financially stable and well-managed companies. Quality stocks typically have high profitability, low leverage, and stable earnings growth. Low Volatility: Low volatility investing aims to identify stocks that have exhibited low price volatility over time. Low-volatility stocks often deliver better risk-adjusted returns than high-volatility stocks Benefits of Factor Investing Factor investing offers several benefits to investors, such as: Improved diversification: By targeting specific factors, investors can diversify their portfolios across various sources of return and risk, thereby reducing overall portfolio risk. Enhanced risk management: Factor investing enables investors to better understand the underlying risks in their portfolios and to manage those risks more effectively. Potential for outperformance: By systematically targeting well-established and robust factors, investors may achieve higher returns than traditional market-cap-weighted indexes. Cost efficiency: Factor investing strategies are often implemented using rules-based approaches, such as smart-beta or quantitative strategies, which can be more cost-effective than traditional active management. Transparency: Factor investing strategies are typically more transparent than traditional active management, as they rely on well-defined, rules-based methodologies that are easier for investors to understand and monitor. Potential Risks of Factor Investing While factor investing offers many benefits, it is important to be aware of the potential risks associated with this approach: Factor timing: Just like market timing, attempting to time factor exposures can be difficult and often leads to underperformance. Investors should be cautious about trying to predict when a particular factor will outperform or underperform. Overfitting: The process of identifying factors can be susceptible to overfitting, where a model is tailored too closely to historical data and may not perform well in the future. Crowding: As more investors adopt factor investing strategies, the potential for crowding in certain factors may increase, leading to diminishing returns or increased risk. Model risk: The effectiveness of factor investing strategies relies on the accuracy and stability of the underlying factor models. If the models are not robust or if they become less effective over time, the strategy's performance may suffer. Diversification risk: While targeting specific factors can help diversify a portfolio, it may also expose investors to concentrated risk if those factors underperform or experience periods of heightened volatility. Factor investing has revolutionized the way investors approach portfolio management, offering improved diversification, enhanced risk management, and the potential for outperformance. By identifying and targeting the primary drivers of investment performance, factor investing provides a systematic and transparent framework for constructing and managing portfolios. Trade with care. If you like our content, please feel free to support our page with a like, comment & subscribe for future educational ideas and trading setups.
ب.ظ 03:49 1402/01/22
Rivian Automotive ( RIVN ) stock has recently hit a new 52-week low due to various factors, making it a highly volatile investment. The company's lower-than-expected production output in 2023, cash burn rate, and intensifying EV truck market competition have contributed to this decline. RIVN's Q1'23 deliveries beat estimates, but its 9. 39K quarterly production remains unimpressive compared to the 50K annual guidance for FY2023. Furthermore, the company's cash burn rate is unsustainable, with a reliance on debt and capital raises until it achieves positive cash flow. Increased competition in the EV truck market is also a concern, with Ford and General Motors reporting success in their respective segments. Rivian's R1T has garnered positive reviews, but its price is significantly higher than competitors' base models. The stock remains suitable for investors with higher risk tolerances and a long-term investing trajectory. Despite recent recovery, RIVN's uncertain outlook combined with the macroeconomic environment makes the stock very unattractive. From a technical perspective, we may see a move to the upside that reaches the pink area marked on the chart between $17 and $18 but the higher probability move is a continuation to the downside, either from here or from the target area. We will keep you updated on any changes we see on the chart. In the meantime, please trade with care and stay safe!
ب.ظ 05:05 1402/01/15
Hello everyone, Hope you’re having a great day! I wanted to share some of my thoughts about UJ, specifically a potential sell setup. As we all know, the price has been in a deeper pullback (Weekly/Daily) for a while now. However, starting from last week, there has been a local bearish impulse, resulting in a drop from 137.88 to 129.66, before taking a small breather. What’s interesting here is that we can see a small degree correction that may reach the two levels ( OBs ) highlighted on the chart. Once either of them is reached, we’ll be waiting for a crossover on the MACD on the 4H TF. Until then, we will be cautious and stay away from any trades. There’s also a third level (FVG) that may be touched, but in my opinion, it will take some time before that happens if we don’t get a move to the downside before that. Our first target will be the blue area (OB) highlighted on the chart, which has a good chance of breaking the low located at 129.66 We will keep you updated on any changes we see on the chart. In the meantime, please trade with care and stay safe!
ق.ظ 09:12 1402/01/09
Introduction The Federal Reserve System, often referred to as "the Fed," was established in 1913 in response to a series of banking panics. As the central banking institution of the United States, it plays a crucial role in maintaining the stability and integrity of the nation's monetary and financial systems. This essay explores the ten fundamental objectives of the Federal Reserve , which include maintaining price stability, promoting full employment, and ensuring a stable financial system, among others. 1. Price Stability The primary objective of the Federal Reserve is to maintain price stability, which refers to a low and stable rate of inflation . By managing inflation , the Fed helps to preserve the purchasing power of money, ensuring that consumers and businesses can make informed decisions regarding spending, saving, and investment. 2. Maximum Sustainable Employment Another key objective of the Federal Reserve is to promote maximum sustainable employment, also known as full employment. This means providing enough job opportunities for all individuals who are willing and able to work, while minimizing the rate of unemployment. By promoting full employment, the Fed contributes to overall economic growth and well-being. 3. Moderate Long-Term Interest Rates The Federal Reserve aims to maintain moderate long-term interest rates, which are essential for economic growth and stability. By controlling short-term interest rates, the Fed can indirectly influence long-term rates, thereby encouraging borrowing, investment, and consumption. 4. Financial System Stability One of the most critical objectives of the Federal Reserve is ensuring the stability of the financial system, which involves monitoring and regulating financial institutions, as well as identifying and addressing potential risks. By maintaining a stable financial system, the Fed helps to prevent crises and protect the economy from shocks. 5. Efficient Payment and Settlement System The Federal Reserve is responsible for managing the nation's payment and settlement systems, which include check clearing, electronic funds transfers, and automated clearinghouse operations. By providing these services efficiently and securely, the Fed ensures that financial transactions occur smoothly, promoting confidence in the banking system. 6. Consumer Protection Another important objective of the Federal Reserve is to protect consumers by enforcing federal consumer protection laws and regulations. This includes monitoring financial institutions for compliance, addressing consumer complaints, and providing education and resources to help consumers make informed financial decisions. 7. Supervision and Regulation The Federal Reserve plays a vital role in supervising and regulating financial institutions to ensure their safety, soundness, and compliance with laws and regulations. This oversight helps to maintain a stable and resilient financial system, while also protecting consumers and investors. 8. Community Development The Federal Reserve is committed to promoting community development by supporting initiatives that address issues such as affordable housing, small business development, and workforce development. This objective aims to foster economic growth and improve the quality of life in communities across the country. 9. Economic Research and Analysis The Federal Reserve conducts extensive research and analysis to better understand the U.S. economy, as well as the global economy. This research informs the Fed's monetary policy decisions and helps it to fulfill its other objectives, such as promoting maximum employment and maintaining stable prices. 10. International Financial Cooperation Finally, the Federal Reserve cooperates with other central banks and international financial institutions to promote global economic stability and financial system resilience. This collaboration allows the Fed to share information, resources, and expertise, ultimately benefiting the U.S. economy. Conclusion The Federal Reserve plays a pivotal role in the U.S. economy by pursuing ten fundamental objectives, which range from maintaining price stability to promoting international financial cooperation. By fulfilling these objectives, the Fed ensures the stability and growth of the U.S. economy, while also fostering a resilient and efficient global financial system. Trade with care. If you like our content, please feel free to support our page with a like, comment & subscribe for future educational ideas and trading setups.
ب.ظ 03:25 1402/01/08
Happy St Patrick Day Folks! ▪️Last week Recap we were expecting BTCUSD to bounce off from the 20k price level, which it did. We had few scenarios in mind one of which was to go back up all the way to the 25k price level and reverse down from there for more ranging but after few days of working that price level, it finally broke through early this morning and BTCUSD is now trading above the 25K psy price level. Point to note: Last week closing candle (i.e. rejection from the downside with long wick) was a tell-tale sign on where price would be heading this week and maybe weeks to come. So always good to check your HTF (Higher Time Frame) candles once closed! ▪️This week analysis & potential scenario This move will be considered a true BO from a range that has spanned for many months if this price action is confirmed by a close on a HTF candle and/or if there is no “acceptance" back below the mid-20K price level. This week / today’s up move was very strong and so we believe it to be a true BO, i.e. price will very likely keep pushing to the upside rather than going back down below 25K key level to trade lower. However, we would anticipate some corrective move (pullbacks) when reaching key price / structure levels (28K ~27K), please see grey arrows for more details on potential scenario. That’s it folks for this week, hope you have a nice St Patrick weekend, and please trade with care!
ب.ظ 02:59 1401/12/26
Hello traders, Today we will do an analysis for NATGAS. This commodity is in a big downtrend on the daily and weekly timeframe that started in August 2022. For now the higher probability move is a bigger correction in this area. On the 4h timeframe we expect the price to move to the upside and break the previous local high that it made on the 3rd of March. Once it reaches the area of the magenta rectangle marked on the chart we must see if we will have a continuation to the downside or it will continue making a bigger correction (upside). Another possible scenario is a move to the downside that coincides with the 70,5% Fibonacci retracement and then a move to the upside to break the local high. Please don't jump in, wait for your setups, no matter what, and don't risk more than 1% of your capital.
ق.ظ 09:20 1401/12/23
▪️2W Analysis Here is our view on BTC Looking at the 2W TF, we’ve used the same interval time from the highest point to lowest point for each bearish trend and at same time looking at RSI to find matching Low - we had already done an initial analysis on that exact same chart early 2022 and then provided an update end of 2022. If that pattern is to repeat itself again for a third time, this could very well be the start of a bull run. In regards to Price Target I have plugged in a curved TL (magenta) across each Higher Highs created at end of each bull run, and if this is correct, we could expect BTC to reach the $140K price level, approx x7 from current price. Now as we all know, nothing is certain in life, especially in the Crypto space, albeit I believe BTC has good chance to reach to that price by end of sep 2025. ▪️Daily Analysis Since end of November, price has been bullish , we have seen first sign of that potential bull run with a push to the upside with momentum which broke that first Lower high (COD red line), at same time a Break of major TL and the retest made both on the broken structure and that TL, from there price pushed up again to reach the $25K “psy level” from which it got rejected. I am now anticipating further ranging in that zone (20K / 25K ), there is nothing in between that is particularly compelling. The daily time frame is the subject of much debate at the time of writing. In particular, the issue at hand is whether or not the current pullback might just be a higher low preceding the new higher high at $25K, which I think is unlikely. As per last few months (June - nov 2022) this price range has been extremely erratic. And since then, there has been no follow-through from any of the range breakouts, it may be premature to anticipate a clear market structure pattern. Second, each of the more distinct support levels is closer to $18K / 20K, hence why I am looking at different scenarios with a "bearish view" while price is in that price range. I believe the "higher low" attempt will be much deeper than what is currently offered on the daily time frame. To put it another way, despite the fact that this region makes structural sense for a higher low, there are no corresponding high time frame levels of support to backup that case, rendering it less persuasive. The daily and lower time frame price action must be particularly compelling for us to develop strong views in the absence of clear high time frame support levels. In the grand scheme of things, a range high breakout and a deeper monthly pullback would be obvious. We are aware that the market is retreating from multi-time frame resistance; therefore, in order to advance, we require favourable levels and/or price action. I believe that we are currently lacking of both, so best thing to do right now is to wait for confirmation on direction, and in the meantime, I will be looking at the LTFs for potential trades, whenever price reaches key levels and market gives us the signals for a trade opportunity. Trade with care!
ب.ظ 03:00 1401/12/17
Hello traders, Ethereum is close to the resistance area marked on the chart. Here we see 2 possible scenarios for this cryptocurrency. It will either break it and consolidate above starting a new impulse to the upside or it will reverse and retest the support area at $3,4k. Trade with care. Best regards, Financial Flagship Disclaimer: The analysis provided is purely informative and it should not be used as financial advice. Remember that you need a plan before you start trading; so, take this knowledge and use it as a guidebook that will ultimately help you understand the market and easily predict your next move.
ب.ظ 07:40 1400/09/25
هر محتوا و مطالب مندرج در سایت و کانالهای رسمی ارتباطی سهمتو، جمعبندی نظرات و تحلیلهای شخصی و غیر تعهد آور بوده و هیچگونه توصیهای مبنی بر خرید، فروش، ورود و یا خروج از بازار بورس و ارز دیجیتال نمی باشد. همچنین کلیه اخبار و تحلیلهای مندرج در سایت و کانالها، صرفا بازنشر اطلاعات از منابع رسمی و غیر رسمی داخلی و خارجی است و بدیهی است استفاده کنندگان محتوای مذکور، مسئول پیگیری و حصول اطمینان از اصالت و درستی مطالب هستند. از این رو ضمن سلب مسئولیت اعلام میدارد مسئولیت هرنوع تصمیم گیری و اقدام و سود و زیان احتمالی در بازار سرمایه و ارز دیجیتال، با شخص معامله گر است.