Moshkelgosha

In the next 6 months we will see lots of changes in the crypto market! What do you think about this chart? Would you bet on bitcoin or Altcoins? Or None? My answer is none!

How we should play FOMC this week..! And Access to Platinum Contents: SOFA: SWING Stocks: SWING OPtions: Please read this article to see which services could be the best for you: HAPPY NOWRUZ Best,

Have asked yourself why Wallstreet Bets popularity and Best years for Citadel overlaps? Or Why Citadel’s CEO Keneth C. Griffins thanks WSB for creating the best pipeline they ever had? Let’s review some data before making any hypothesis..! Ken Griffin's Citadel raked in $16 billion in 2022, marking the best year for any hedge fund in history. Ken Griffin's Citadel posted a record $16 billion in profits last year, notching the largest gain in history. Citadel Securities is an American market making firm headquartered in Miami. It is one of the largest market makers in the world, and is active in more than 50 countries. The firm has said it handles about 40% of all US retail trading volume and one in every four US equities trades. Over 15 million people use Robinhood as their primary trading platform. Robinhood routes more than half of its customer orders to Citadel , by far its largest market-making partner by volume , Robinhood disclosures show. Robinhood is WSB's weapon of choice, investors and users who have no clue what they're doing. Why WSB users call themselves Apes? The study published in the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences in 2010 was conducted by a team of researchers led by Dr . Benjamin Hayden at the University of Rochester. The aim of the study was to investigate how monkeys make decisions when faced with the possibility of a reward and a risk. In the study, the researchers trained rhesus monkeys to perform a task where they had to choose between two symbols displayed on a computer screen. Each symbol was associated with a different amount of juice reward, but one of the symbols also had a chance of delivering a mild air puff to the face, which the monkeys found unpleasant. The researchers found that the monkeys were willing to take a higher risk when the potential reward was greater, which is consistent with what is observed in human decision-making. However, they also found that the monkeys continued to choose the risky option even when the potential reward was not worth the risk. To test whether the monkeys were aware of the risk and potential loss, the researchers introduced a "no-risk" option, where the monkeys could choose a symbol that guaranteed a small but safe reward with no chance of an air puff. Despite being aware of this option, the monkeys continued to choose the risky option and receive the air puff. This behavior suggests that the monkeys were not making rational decisions based solely on the potential reward, but were influenced by other factors such as the thrill of taking a risk or the fear of missing out on a potential reward. Overall, the study provides insight into how animals, including humans, make decisions when faced with risk and reward. It suggests that our decision-making is not always driven by rational calculations and that other factors such as emotions and social influence can play a role in our choices. Herd Mentality there are some theories and observations related to human behavior in financial markets that suggest that herd behavior and imitation can contribute to market bubbles. For example, some researchers have noted that investors often follow the behavior of others, rather than making independent decisions based on fundamental analysis or market trends. This can lead to a situation where a large number of investors all buy or sell the same assets, creating a "herd" effect that can drive prices up or down rapidly. In some cases, this behavior can contribute to the creation of market bubbles, where asset prices become significantly inflated due to speculation and investor enthusiasm. Eventually, however, these bubbles tend to burst, resulting in significant losses for those who were caught up in the frenzy. I think any rational mind has enough information to conclude the schema we are dealing with in the past 3 years! I would like to end this article with Edward O Thorp quote: When I shifted my focus from beating gambling games to analyzing the stock market, I naively thought that I was leaving a world where cheating at cards was then problematic and entering an arena where regulation and the rule of law gave investors a fair playing field. Instead, I learned that bigger stakes attracted bigger thieves. Best,

You can do many things by using AI, one of them could be market analysis, but do not forget chatGPT has been trained on the data that could be relatively old for today's market situations! This post is written to exploit the Short/Long market view, and offer a solution to broaden the market participants' understanding of the market! If you want to know the market behavior better, learn options trading (Do not trade options until you really learn it). Why everyone needs to learn options trading? Because, as a market participant you will figure out the number of strategies is vast, and the use of a particular strategy can depend on many different factors, including the market conditions, the trader's goals, risk tolerance, and the characteristics of the underlying asset. I can provide an overview of some of the most commonly used option trading strategies and their potential use in different market situations: Bullish Market: Call options: This allows the trader to profit from an increase in the underlying asset's price. Bull call spread: A limited-risk, limited-reward strategy that can be used to profit from a moderate increase in the underlying asset's price. Covered call: This strategy can be used to generate income from a long position in an asset while protecting against a limited decrease in its price. Bearish Market: Put options: This allows the trader to profit from a decrease in the underlying asset's price. Bear put spread: A limited-risk, limited-reward strategy that can be used to profit from a moderate decrease in the underlying asset's price. Protective put: This can be used to protect against a decrease in the price of a long position in an asset. Sideways Market: Straddle: A strategy that can be used to profit from significant price movement in either direction. Strangle: A similar strategy to the straddle, but with a lower cost of entry. Iron condor: A limited-risk, limited-reward strategy that can be used to profit from a sideways market. Volatile Market: Long straddle: A strategy that can be used to profit from significant price movement in either direction. Long strangle: Similar to the long straddle, but with a lower cost of entry. Keep in mind that these are just some examples, and there are many other strategies that can be used in different market situations. It is important to thoroughly research and test any strategy before applying it to real-world trading. Know you know: A Few Big Questions: One Simple Solution: Turning indicators into strategy is easy even if you do not know to code. Do backtesting based on your time frame objectives and you will see how many of them work..! A friendly request to Wizards: Use labels to show people what they should do at any given moment(Buy, Sell, No trade)! Some users could have opposite understandings by looking at the exact same indicator! Best,

First I would like to say "Happy New Year" to all my followers and wish you good fortune in 2023. This chart shows yearly candles in the past 40 years for NASDAQ 100, S&P 500 , and Dow Jones. In these charts, you can see yearly changes in 2022, 2009,2008, 2001, and 2000. To plan your investment strategies in 2023, you need to answer this question: What stage of an Economic Cycle are we in? To answer this question you need to know what an Economic Cycle is, and what data can help us determine its current stage. An economic cycle is the overall state of the economy as it goes through four stages in a cyclical pattern: - Expansion - Peak - Contraction - Trough Factors that can help determine the current stage of the economic cycle: - GDP - Interest rates - Total employment - Consumer spending What do you think? What stage of an Economic cycle are we in? My answer to this question is: Economic cycle has peaked and we will enter the contraction phase in 2023. Average Contraction Duration, peak to trough between 1854-2022: 17 months. Once again I wish you a happy new year. Best, If you like to read more, here is the link to the article I used as a reference: https://www.investopedia.com/terms/e/economic-cycle.asp

The hidden secret behind the tickers I offered to trade last week: "Wyckoff's stock selection process always included an analysis of comparative strength. To identify candidates for long positions, he looked for stocks or industries that were outperforming the market, both during trends and within trading ranges, whereas, with short positions, he looked for underperformers. he conducted his comparative strength analysis between a stock and the market, or between a stock and others in its industry" A: The Bullish phase: B: The Bearish phase: 1- SOXL: -88% from Top 2- SQ: -81% from Top 3- SHOP: -85% From Top 4- UPST: -95% from top 5-U: -85% from top 6- BABA: -75% from top 7- ROKU: -88% from Top 8- AMD: -61% from top 9- MRNA: -76% from Top 10- MSFT: -33.5% from Top What other features do you find in common in these tickers? (you will learn a lot if you spend time on it!) Best,

These similarities between 2 charts are just my observations: 1- The past 3 years of NASDAQ100 vs 1987-1990 for NI225: 2- The past 14 years of NASDAQ100 vs 1975-1990 for NI225: 3- The past 50 years of NASDAQ100 vs 1950-1990 for NI225: This observation is raising the probability that we may have a long way to go to declare the market bottom..! Best,

I published an analysis of 7 Semiconductor and their ETF on August 29th (for Patrons), I will share it publicly here: 8 out of 8 positions are in the profit now! The boat has started sailing...

Wyckoff's stock selection process always included an analysis of comparative strength. To identify candidates for long positions, he looked for stocks or industries that were outperforming the market, both during trends and within trading ranges. In short positions, he looked for underperformers. Therefore, he conducted his comparative strength analysis between a stock and the market, or between a stock and others in its industry. Practical example: NASDAQ100 vs NVDA 5-year: 1-year: YTD: July-August 2022: Conclusion: we can use outperforming stocks' charts with higher positive correlation as a leading indicator for Indexes! Best,

This is a review of my published trade ideas on August 5th: SOXS: +25% in 3 days! SQQQ: +7% SARK:+6% A successful trader studies human nature and does the opposite of what the general public does. (William Delbert Gann ) While so many hope for things to happen, I try to back my decisions based on Data and models..! Best,