CountOnCrypto

Swing Failure Pattern of the market structure high. I would still consider the market structure bullish on the MTF-HTF as we've found support at the old market structure high which was flipped from resistance to support then had an SFP with a lot of shorts opening between here and when we lost the 30k psychological support. Target is based off the liquidity at 30.8k. Stoploss below the low as that's a clear invalidation on the basis of the SFP and market structure! Lovely swing trade setup for me.

CountOnCrypto - Bitcoin Forecast - 05/08/2022 Greetings TradingView, I'd like to present to you the latest short trade I am personally taking. We experienced a Swing Failure Pattern (SFP) below the previous daily low as well as the Value Area Low (VAL) a few hours ago. During this price action, I opened a long with my stop loss just before the 0.66 Fibonacci retracement zone which is part of the golden pocket. For now, I am measuring the speed of the move based on how price action reacts at the Fibonacci Speed Resistance Fans as well as the point of control and other Fibonacci golden pocket above the Point of Control (POC). A break above the Value Area High (VAH) would insinuate we are going to retest the highs, the previous being the Previous Monthly Volume Weighted Average Price (pmVWAP) . This is a major resistance level , and breaking above it/ retesting it for the third time would be extremely bullish . In conclusion, my take profit target resides below the other Fibonacci golden pocket which correlates with lows of the previous range in addition to the 111-day moving average which is pivotal based on the Pi Cycle indicator. My stop loss is at the point of invalidation for this trade where I will look to long lower.

CountOnCrypto - Bitcoin Forecast - 06/06/2022 Hello TradingView, I'm happy to post my latest trading idea which is a short from the daily level (or just below) of 31.75k. This is a previous daily point of control (daily nPoc) which was until earlier untapped. These levels often act as support and resistance therefore pose as an entry I often take for my trades. My stop loss for this short position is 2% above my entry, I am using 2.5x leverage on my position therefore my stop loss would yield -5% where as my take profit is 9.4% * 2.5x = 23.5% which yields a risk to reward ratio of 1:4.6, this is a good risk to reward which makes this position valuable in my opinion given the reason for entries. The safest way in my opinion for this trade to play out in terms of taking profit is to follow the levels in the range below. The value area high of the range is in confluence with the daily level at 30.4k so we can expect some support at this level potentially. The next level of interest would be the range point of control which is marked by the red horizontal line, breaking below this level would mean it's likely we'd re-test the value area low of the range which is the lower blue horizontal line. If we broke below the value area low of the range then I would expect us to find support at around 28.58k which is a daily level I have marked and has acted as support previously in the short term. I would be looking for longs in this zone and may post a long idea following up on this post. I hope you've found my idea useful, remember to trade safely and use risk management. My thesis for entries always has to consider a few outcomes given that bitcoin can be extremely volatile and I always use a stop loss at a point of invalidation. Plan the trade, trade the plan and always remember to protect your capital!Trade active: Trade is active from entry.Trade closed: target reached: Trade closed in profit.

CountOnCrypto - Bitcoin Forecast - 30/05/2022 On the Bitcoin chart; we're seeing lower highs and lower lows since we failed to re-test the top of the current bitcoin range on the 23rd of May topping out at around 30625. After the bullish SFP on the 26th of May created a lower low we can see how we recently found support on the .5 Fibonacci zone, based on that and the fact we have a daily nPoc at 28.58k I believe we are likely to bounce to the upside and re-test the top of the current range, I expected us to do this sooner, more likely to have occurred over the weekend. Still, now as we are starting a new week I'm expecting the same turn of events but in addition, I see us coming up to the daily level at 31. 27k . This is the level I will be taking my next position which will be a short, I plan on taking profit just before we reach the .618 at 27.58k and I shall be taking 3/4 / 2/3 and then letting the rest of the trade run, possibly looking for longs once there's a bit more confluence/ evidence to enter a long position.Trade closed: stop reached: Stopped out

CountOnCrypto - Bitcoin Forecast - 01/05/2022 Here is a Bitcoin long from the bottom of the range and weekly nPoc, the price target is the daily level at 43.4k but I'm going to take profit slightly before we reach this target in the coming week. There is currently a lot of fear in the market, according to CVD the majority of that is Perpetual shorts, the majority of Spot bitcoin is holding right now which suggests to me a sentiment change will not only cause a lot of Fomo but rapidly pump the price towards the top of the range. The risk to reward for this trade is 1:8 which is a very good setup and I'm excited for the opportunity it has given me. Thank you for reading my idea, good luck in your trading and remember to always follow risk management and do your own research.

CountOnCrypto - Bitcoin Forecast - 11/04/2022 Good evening TradingView, here I'm sharing my next long setup for Bitcoin , the zone to long is marked by the green rectangle , stop loss is below the weekly nPoc located at 37.75k, a break of this level would likely result in a re-test of the value area low which would invalidate the setup. The entry has the confluence of the golden ratio (.618 Fibonacci retracement zone) as well as the point of control of the range which is marked by the red line, this area has the most volume between the low and the high based on the volume profile which makes it a likely level we'll test on the way down. In terms of take-profit, you should look to take profit at the various levels I have identified including the Fibonacci levels and daily levels, the highest target being 48k which is the top of the range. My first take profit is going to be the value area high located at 42.75k, this area is also a daily nPoc.

CountOnCrypto - Bitcoin Forecast - 01/04/2022 Swing failure pattern entry below the 45.5k horizontal support, TP1 is the first golden ratio below the point of control, second is the next golden ratio and third is the weekly nPoc located at 50.7k.

CountOnCrypto - Bitcoin Forecast - 14/01/2022 Hello TradingView 2022, I'd just like to share my long idea with you. Bitcoin retested the daily naked point of control, this poses as an opportunity to open a long position, to correctly manage your risk you should use a stop loss below the invalidation point which is below 40k. This level is a major S/R level which we've managed to stay above following the SFP on the 10th of January. Secondly, assuming we are in a range between the previous local high and the previous low then we can assume price action will naturally gravitate towards the point of control. This is found at around 47k and is my price target. We can expect to find some resistance at the marked levels on the chart including the golden ratio of a Fibonacci retracement I drew from the previous range.